The Big Question: Spence vs Porter - who wins?

Boxing Monthly
26/09/2019 10:43pm

Photo: Ryan Hafey / Premier Boxing Champions

Errol Spence Jr faces Shawn Porter in a welterweight unification showdown this weekend. The BM team are here with their big fight picks and predictions...

Spence by decision for mine. Porter will have his moments but is likely to lose 9-3 or 8-4 as Spence comes on in the later rounds. - Anthony Cocks

Porter may make things interesting early on coming forward as he does but I expect Spence Jr to eventually take over and dominate. Spence Jr by wide UD. - Lee Gormley

Spence by decision. Porter will bring hustle, bustle and workrate, but the Texan has extra dimensions. - Mark Butcher

Spence by wide decision. Possibly a shut out. - Paul Zanon

PBC welterweight fights usually end in close, debatable decisions - typically 115-113 one way or the other. Based on the fact Spence looks a shade higher class than the rest of them, I’ll go with Spence via decision, a little wider than the usual fare. A knockout - one way or the other - would help separate the winner from the pack. - Andrew Harrison

I like Spence by UD, although Porter will provide his toughest test to date as a pro. Don’t be surprised if two judges have it 117-111 and one has it 115-113. - Michael Montero

While Spence’s exaltation to the higher rungs of several P4P lists feels highly premature, he does appear to be a special talent. Porter’s style is such that, win or lose, he’s always likely to bank a handful of rounds along the way, but class should tell over the distance here. I expect Spence to notch a career-best win with a close but clear kind of decision, with two or more cards marked in the 116-112, 115-113 region. - Tom Craze

I'm a big fan of Porter (who is a top PBC pundit) and his dad Kenny. But Spence is in another league and will show once again just why he is one of the best P4P fighters around. I don't even think we've seen the best of the Texan yet. I can only see a stoppage win here. Spence TKO7. - Luca Rosi

I just don't see how Porter wins this. As good as Porter is, Spence is in a higher class and should pull away to take a unanimous decision with a mixture of 116-112 and 117-111 cards. - Colin Harris

The winners of the vast majority of 'big fights' in 2019 have not been that hard to predict. Scroll back through our previous 'big question' predictions for the year so far and the only fight which has significantly upset the BM prediction apple cart is Joshua vs Ruiz (where BM writers plumped for AJ by 12 to 0), although interestingly our team also plumped 7-5 for DeGale over Eubank Jr and were split 6-6 on Gorman vs Dubois. The most competitive 'big fight' of the year was probably Thurman vs Pacquiao, which saw our predictions swing 3-2 in Pacman's favour, or Estrada vs Srisaket 2, which prediction-wise went 6-3 in the Mexican's favour. These fights aside though, we've had a series of 'big fights' this year  - Lomachenko vs Campbell, Kovalev vs Yarde, Warrington vs Galahad, Canelo vs Jacobs, Inoue vs Rodriguez, Crawford vs Khan and Spence vs Garcia - which were all prediction whitewashes in favour of the eventual winners. Spence vs Porter will be no different as a year in which true 50-50 showdowns at the highest level have not occurred with the regularity they should. Spence by unanimous decision, or late stoppage. (And roll on Prograis vs Taylor, which is arguably the first genuine 'pick em' big fight of the year... - Luke G. Williams

It’s a better fight than people give it credit for and Porter is a top-drawer fighter still. I think Spence Jr is special however and I believe his size, range and impeccable skills will be the key factors in this fight. I’m going with Spence via decision. - Chris Glover

I really like Porter, but I think he's always been slightly below the very elite at the weight. I think Porter will try and make it as physical a fight as possible but I think Spence will just have too much skill and nous to be drawn in. I expect a wide points victory of even a late stoppage for Spence. - James Oddy

Final tally: Spence 12 Porter 0