Canelo vs Kovalev: what will happen?

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11/10/2019 4:07pm

Photo: Al Bello/Getty Images / Abbie Parr/Getty Images

GettyImages 850736538Saul 'Canelo' Alvarez moves up in weight again in November to face Russian light heavy Sergey Kovalev. Can the Mexican annex yet another title in yet another weight class?

Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez is a former super-welterweight champ and was the unified middleweight champion after a points victory against Daniel Jacobs. Since then, he has been stripped of the IBF belt but that’s ok - his legacy will continue.

Canelo stepped up in weight again to beat Rocky Fielding at super-middleweight. However, that wasn’t enough of a challenge for the Mexican superstar fighter. He is looking to challenge Sergey Kovalev for the light-heavyweight belt on 2 November.

Despite jumping up two weight-classes – from formerly tacking on 15 pounds– Canelo Alvarez has been listed early as high as -417 at trusted betting sites such as Bookmaker. He originally opened at -360, but early action has pushed Saul’s price up in the fight against the Russian champion.

Canelo is the No. 3 pound for pound fighter in the world. But this will be a tough task for the much smaller fighter. Errol Spence Jr. brought up a good point, stating that Canelo is chasing greatness so this is a good move. If Alvarez loses, he can fall back on the size differential and say that Kovalev was just too big. But if he wins, then it’s a mega victory and guys like Mikey Garcia will no longer have any excuses.

Kovalev is getting older and slowing down some. But that incredible power is still there, so Canelo will have to be careful.

That said, if he can limit Sergey’s power and land combinations in bunches, Canelo can win this fight. But just like One-Time Keith Thurman said, you can’t keep stepping up in weight with punchers, because you take a punch that you can’t handle.

At 36 Kovalev has a lot left, but he is starting to struggle with fighters that press him and take it to his body. Especially fighters that aren’t as affected by his power. Canelo is all of these things so, the outcome will be quite interesting.

"In order to be the best, you have to beat the best. I have always tried to fight the toughest opponents in my division, but many have ducked me throughout my career. Canelo wanted to fight me; to step up to higher weight and challenge for my belt. I will be ready on Nov. 2." – Sergey Kovalev.

But it looks like Canelo will be ready too. He easily moved up to 168 and knocked out Fielding. Canelo said that that he felt very good; strong at 168lbs and that he didn’t have to dehydrate himself. It showed. Canelo knocked Fielding down in the first round … then knocked him out in the third.

So, is seven pounds more really too much of a stretch? I don’t think so. That said, the level of the fighter is vastly different. Kovalev is an entirely different beast to Fielding.

Canelo won’t likely be able to power-shot Kovalev down to the canvas in early rounds. Conversely, he’ll have to watch out for Kovalev’s big right hand.

This is going to be an amazing fight. And this is a fantastic opportunity for Canelo to solidify himself as one of the greatest of all time.